Table 3.

Estimated risk, proportion of patients with observed events, and area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC curves in RA patients with estimated cardiovascular risk of 5–15 %.

ERS-RA (reported)
  Median estimated risk8.3
  Observed event14.0
  AUC (95% CI)0.52 (0.43–0.61)
ERS-RA (measured)
  Median estimated risk9.2
  Observed event11.6
  AUC (95% CI)0.60 (0.51–0.69)
  Median estimated risk8.6
  Observed event12.3
  AUC (95% CI)0.59 (0.48–0.70)
ACC/AHA × 1.5
  Median estimated risk9.4
  Observed event9.1
  AUC (95% CI)0.59 (0.46–0.71)
  • Data are % unless otherwise indicated. ROC: receiver-operating characteristics; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; ERS-RA: Expanded Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Score for Rheumatoid Arthritis; ACC/AHA: American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association.