Table 2.

Associations between baseline knee structural abnormalities and change in effusion-synovitis over 24 months. Dependent variable: an increase in effusion-synovitis over 24 months. Independent variable: baseline knee structures.

Knee StructuresVolume Change#, RR (95% CI)Score Change*, OR (95% CI)
Bone marrow lesion, 0–3
  Total1.31 (1.14–1.49)1.03 (0.84–1.25)
  Tibiofemoral1.30 (1.15–1.48)1.01 (0.83–1.22)
  Patellar1.04 (0.88–1.22)1.01 (0.79–1.29)
Cartilage defect, 0–4
  Total1.66 (1.15–2.40)1.43 (1.05–1.95)
  Tibiofemoral1.38 (1.13–1.69)1.16 (0.91–1.46)
  Patellar1.01 (0.88–1.15)1.18 (0.98–1.43)
Cartilage volume, ml
  Total0.90 (0.79–1.03)0.84 (0.70–1.00)
  Tibial0.87 (0.72–1.05)0.83 (0.64–1.08)
  Patellar0.92 (0.75, 1.14)0.80 (0.59–1.07)
Osteophyte, 0–3
  Total1.40 (1.18–1.66)1.04 (0.82–1.32)
  Tibiofemoral1.44 (1.23–1.70)1.06 (0.83–1.36)
  Patellar1.31 (1.12–1.53)1.05 (0.82–1.34)
Joint space narrowing, 0–3
  Total1.55 (1.26–1.91)1.40 (1.05–1.85)
  Tibiofemoral1.80 (1.42–2.28)1.56 (1.11–2.20)
  Patellofemoral1.18 (1.00–1.38)1.21 (0.95–1.53)
  • Generalized binary# and ordinal* logistic regression models were used, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, site, and intervention.

  • # Effusion-synovitis volume change was dichotomized using least significant change criterion. Statistically significant differences at α = 0.05 are in bold face.