Independent predictors of remission, by definition and duration of remission. Exact estimates and all model variables are in the supplemental data.
| Duration of Remission | Independent Predictors | Direction of Effect on Odds of Remission | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point remission | |||
| DAS28 | Male sex | ↑ | |
| Ex-/never smoker | ↑ | ||
| Minority ethnicity | ↓ | ||
| Higher baseline physician global | ↓ | ||
| Higher baseline ESR | ↓ | ||
| ACR/EULAR Boolean | Ex-/never smoker | ↑ | |
| ACR/EULAR Boolean excluding acute-phase reactant | Ex-/never smoker | ↑ | |
| Minority ethnicity | ↓ | ||
| CDAI | Ex-/never smoker | ↑ | |
| Minority ethnicity | ↓ | ||
| Higher baseline patient global | ↓ | ||
| Higher swollen joint count | ↓ | ||
| SDAI | Higher baseline HAQ | ↓ | |
| Ex-/never smoker | ↑ | ||
| University/college education | ↑ | ||
| Sustained remission | |||
| DAS28 | Higher baseline physician global | ↓ | |
| ACR/EULAR Boolean | No predictors | ||
| ACR/EULAR Boolean excluding acute-phase reactant | Obesity | ↓ | |
| CDAI | Higher tender joint count | ↓ | |
| SDAI | No predictors | ||
DAS28: Disease Activity Score (28 joints); ACR: American College of Rheumatology; EULAR: European League Against Rheumatism; CDAI: Clinical Disease Activity Index; SDAI: Simplified Disease Activity Index; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; HAQ: Health Assessment Questionnaire.