Table 3.

Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for the cumulative DAS28-CRP and total PD score to predict nonradiographic progression.

Treatment RegimenDisease Activity MeasuresCutoff (average)Sensitivity (%)Specificity (%)PPV (%)NPV (%)
Total, n = 57DAS28-CRP< 9.0 (3.0)64818557
Total GS score< 62 (20.7)56576943
Total PD Sore< 21 (6.8)69768359
MTX, n = 16DAS28-CRP< 10.8 (3.6)89718083
Total GS score< 60 (20.0)78436460
Total PD Sore< 20 (6.5)89868689
TNF antagonist, n = 24DAS28-CRP< 11.9 (4.0)88718871
Total GS score< 70 (23.3)65577940
Total PD Sore< 21 (6.8)65718546
TCZ, n = 17DAS28-CRP< 9.0 (3.0)80718071
Total GS score< 62 (20.7)60717556
Total PD Sore< 18 (6.0)70868867
  • PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; DAS28: 28-joint Disease Activity Score; CRP: C-reactive protein; GS: greyscale; PD: power Doppler; MTX: methotrexate; TNF: tumor necrosis factor; TCZ: tocilizumab.