Table 2.

ACR and PsARC results using the derived models.

Response IndexCutoff PointSensitivitySpecificityLogistic Regression (LR) Models
EstimateSEzResidual DevianceResidual Degrees of FreedomArea Under ROC Curve
LR-PsARC index*480.54170.78
        Intercept−1.270.24−5.20
        PC30 JNT IMPR0.870.283.08
        MDGDA-1 cat−0.850.20−4.23
        PtGDA-1 cat−0.690.17−4.04
LR-PsARCc10.2890.790.682.070.229.24485.5419
LR-PsARCc20.0330.810.662.120.239.31482.6419
LR-ACR20 index**442.14140.82
        Intercept−2.390.28−8.55
        PC201 JNT0.690.252.76
        PC201 CRP1.240.255.06
        PC201 MDGDA1.090.264.13
        PC201 PTGDA0.190.300.64
        PC201 PTASSPAIN0.480.301.60
        PC201 HAQ0.580.252.27
LR-ACR20c10.5970.680.822.280.239.76469.3419
LR-ACR20c20.0760.740.732.050.229.27485.3419
LR-ACR30 index***414.44140.84
        Intercept−2.280.26−8.84
        PC301 JNT0.820.273.07
        PC301 CRP1.590.256.34
        PC301MDGDA1.000.283.62
        PC301PtGDA0.580.371.57
        PC301 PtASSPAIN0.250.360.68
        PC301 HAQ0.510.271.92
LR-ACR30c10.8720.630.892.650.279.98449.4419
LR-ACR30c20.1350.730.842.630.2410.79437.3419
LR-ACR40 index393.74140.86
        Intercept−2.080.24−8.78
        PC401 JNT0.790.282.86
        PC401 CRP1.950.267.63
        PC401 MDGDA1.100.303.62
        PC401 PtGDA−0.570.48−1.19
        PC401 PTASSPAIN1.500.463.24
        PC401 HAQ0.820.282.87
LR-ACR40c11.1850.540.953.130.358.90445.7419
LR-ACR40c20.2240.720.832.530.2410.50447.0419
  • * PC30 JNT SWELL CNT — Joint swelling count: improvement = decrease by at least 30%, worsening = increase by at least 30%, otherwise same. PC30 JNT PAIN CNT — Joint pain/tenderness count: improvement = decrease by at least 30%, worsening = increase by at least 30%, otherwise same. PC30 JNT IMPR = (Improvement in PC30 JNT SWELL CNT) or (Improvement in PC30 JNT PAIN CNT). MDGDA — 1 cat — Physician global assessment of articular disease (disease activity): improvement = decrease by at least one category (−1), worsening = increase by at least one category (1), same = no category change (0). PTGDA-1 cat— Patient global assessment of articular disease (disease activity): improvement = decrease by at least one category (−1), worsening = increase by at least one category (1), same = no category change (0).

  • ** PC201 JNT SWELL, PC201 JNT PAIN, PC201 CRP, PC201 MDGDA, PC201 PTGDA, PC201 PTASSPAIN, and PC201 HAQ are indicators for at least 20% improvement in swollen joint count, tender/painful joint count. C-reactive protein (CRP) measurement, physician global assessment of disease activity, patient global assessment of disease activity, patient assessment of pain and Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) score. PC201 JNT = (PC201 JNT SWELL = 1) and (PC201 JNT PAIN = 1).

  • *** PC301 JNT SWELL, PC301 JNT PAIN, PC301 CRP, PC301 MDGDA, PC301 PTGDA, PC301 PTASSPAIN, and PC301 HAQ are indicators for at least 30% improvement in swollen joint count, tender/painful joint count, C-reactive protein measurement. Physician global assessment of disease activity. Patient global assessment of disease activity. Patient assessment of pain and HAQ score. PC301 JNT = (PC301 JNT SWELL = 1) and (PC301 JNT PAIN =1).

  • PC401 JNT SWELL, PC401 JNT PAIN, PC401 CRP, PC401 MDGDA, PC401 PTGDA, PC401 PTASSPAIN, and PC401 HAQ are indicators for at least 40% improvement in swollen joint count, tender/painful joint count, CRP measurement, Physician global assessment of disease activity. Patient global assessment of disease activity, patient assessment of pain and HAQ score. PC401 JNT = (PC401 JNT SWELL = 1) and (PC401 JNT PAIN = 1).