RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Clinical Activity After 12 Weeks of Treatment with Nonbiologics in Early Rheumatoid Arthritis May Predict Articular Destruction 2 Years Later JF The Journal of Rheumatology JO J Rheumatol FD The Journal of Rheumatology SP 723 OP 729 DO 10.3899/jrheum.090776 VO 37 IS 4 A1 YOICHI ICHIKAWA A1 TERUNOBU SAITO A1 HISASI YAMANAKA A1 MASASHI AKIZUKI A1 HIROBUMI KONDO A1 SHIGETO KOBAYASHI A1 HISAJI OSHIMA A1 SHINICHI KAWAI A1 NOBUAKI HAMA A1 HIDEHIRO YAMADA A1 TSUNEYO MIMORI A1 KOICHI AMANO A1 YASUSHI TANAKA A1 YASUO MATSUOKA A1 SUMIKI YAMAMOTO A1 TSUKASA MATSUBARA A1 NORIKAZU MURATA A1 TOMIAKI ASAI A1 YASUO SUZUKI YR 2010 UL http://www.jrheum.org/content/37/4/723.abstract AB Objective. To investigate earlier prediction of future articular destruction in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods. We randomly allocated patients with RA with disease duration < 2 years to different nonbiologic disease modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) therapies in a double-blind trial. Progression of articular destruction over the 96-week treatment period was assessed using the modified Sharp method. Results. Progression of articular destruction correlated more strongly with the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) core set measures after 12 weeks of treatment than with pretreatment values. Multiple regression analysis of data after 12 weeks yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.711. The sensitivity and specificity to predict articular destruction over the 75th percentile of the cohort were 78.6% and 84.6%, respectively. Patients who showed articular destruction over the 75th percentile of the cohort had low response to treatment at 12 weeks, and continued to have high clinical disease activity thereafter. Contrasting data were found in patients with slow progression of articular destruction. Conclusion. In patients with early RA, ACR core set measures after 12 weeks of nonbiologic DMARD treatment may predict articular destruction 2 years later. Low response to treatment at 12 weeks and continuing high disease activity thereafter were found in patients with rapid radiological progression. These data can be used to determine the appropriateness of treatment at 12 weeks and aid the decision to introduce biologic DMARD.