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Research ArticleArticle

Association of Frailty With Risk of Osteoarthritis Development, Progression, and Worse Clinical Outcomes in Older Adults

Jocelyn Waghorn, Selena P. Maxwell, Sophie E. Rayner, Rebecca Moyer, Kenneth Rockwood, Olga Theou, Maroun Rizkallah, Alexandra Legge and Myles W. O'Brien
The Journal of Rheumatology October 2025, jrheum.2025-0578; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.2025-0578
Jocelyn Waghorn
J. Waghorn, BScH, Division of Kinesiology, School of Health and Human Performance, Faculty of Health, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Selena P. Maxwell
S.P. Maxwell, PhD, Department of Medicine (Division of Geriatric Medicine), Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Sophie E. Rayner
S.E. Rayner, BScH, Division of Kinesiology, School of Health and Human Performance, Faculty of Health, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Rebecca Moyer
R. Moyer, PhD, School of Physiotherapy (Faculty of Health), Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Kenneth Rockwood
K. Rockwood, MD, Geriatric Medicine Research, Nova Scotia Health, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Olga Theou
O. Theou, PhD, Department of Medicine (Division of Geriatric Medicine) and School of Physiotherapy (Faculty of Health), Dalhousie University; Geriatric Medicine Research, Nova Scotia Health, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Maroun Rizkallah
M. Rizkallah, MD, Vitalité Health Network, Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada; Department of Medicine, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Québec, Canada.
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Alexandra Legge
A. Legge, MD, Department of Medicine (Division of Rheumatology), Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
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Myles W. O'Brien
M.W. O'Brien, PhD, Department of Medicine, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Québec, Canada; Centre de Formation Médicale du Nouveau-Brunswick, Université de Sherbrooke, Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada.
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Abstract

Objective Both frailty and osteoarthritis (OA) become common with aging. Given their shared age-related incidence, we hypothesized that greater baseline frailty—measured by a frailty index—would be associated with worse OA outcomes, including higher incidence, poorer Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) trajectories, increased fall risk, and higher rates of total or partial knee arthroplasty (KA) or hip arthroplasty (HA) in middle-aged and older adults.

Methods A frailty index score was calculated for 4753 participants (58.53% female; mean age 61.2 years, 95% CI 60.94-61.46) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), broken into control, incidence, and progression groups. Longitudinal OAI outcomes including incidence, KOOS progression, falls, and KA/HA were extracted for ~9 years from baseline.

Results Higher baseline frailty was associated with development of OA by 3-, 5-, and 9-year follow-up (all P < 0.001), with the greatest effect at 9 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.73, 95% CI 1.52-1.97, P < 0.001). Disease trajectory, as measured by KOOS subscale scores, was negatively influenced by increasing frailty (all P < 0.001), the greatest effect being on KOOS Function (estimate −9.52, 95% CI −10.28 to −8.77, P < 0.001). A 0.1 difference in baseline frailty index scores was associated with an increase in the odds of experiencing a fall within 3 years of baseline (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58, P < 0.001). Regardless of surgical site, frailty index scores did not significantly affect risk of experiencing KA/HA except in female participants undergoing HA (hazard ratio 1.29, 95% CI 1.04-1.61, P = 0.02).

Conclusion Frailty was associated with greater risk of OA incidence and falls, as well as KOOS-measured disease progression, but not joint replacement surgery-free time.

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The Journal of Rheumatology: 53 (1)
The Journal of Rheumatology
Vol. 53, Issue 1
1 Jan 2026
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Association of Frailty With Risk of Osteoarthritis Development, Progression, and Worse Clinical Outcomes in Older Adults
Jocelyn Waghorn, Selena P. Maxwell, Sophie E. Rayner, Rebecca Moyer, Kenneth Rockwood, Olga Theou, Maroun Rizkallah, Alexandra Legge, Myles W. O'Brien
The Journal of Rheumatology Oct 2025, jrheum.2025-0578; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.2025-0578

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Association of Frailty With Risk of Osteoarthritis Development, Progression, and Worse Clinical Outcomes in Older Adults
Jocelyn Waghorn, Selena P. Maxwell, Sophie E. Rayner, Rebecca Moyer, Kenneth Rockwood, Olga Theou, Maroun Rizkallah, Alexandra Legge, Myles W. O'Brien
The Journal of Rheumatology Oct 2025, jrheum.2025-0578; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.2025-0578
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