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Research ArticleArticle

Flares of Disease in Children with Clinically Inactive Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Were Not Correlated with Ultrasound Findings

Yongdong Zhao, Nanci E. Rascoff, Ramesh S. Iyer, Mahesh Thapa, Lucas Reichley, Assaf P. Oron and Carol A. Wallace
The Journal of Rheumatology April 2018, jrheum.170681; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.170681
Yongdong Zhao
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Nanci E. Rascoff
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Ramesh S. Iyer
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Mahesh Thapa
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Lucas Reichley
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Assaf P. Oron
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Carol A. Wallace
From Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, the Center for Clinical and Translational Research (CCTR), and Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. The project described was supported by the CCTR at Seattle Children’s Hospital, the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), through grant UL1 TR000002. YZ was supported by the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA). Statistical work and the Research Electronic Data Capture database were supported by an Institute of Translational Health Sciences grant (UL1 RR025014 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH). Y. Zhao, MD, PhD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, and CCTR, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; N.E. Rascoff, MD, MPH, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; R.S. Iyer, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; M. Thapa, MD, Pediatric Radiology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; L. Reichley, BA, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington; A.P. Oron, PhD, Epidemiology Section, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, USA; C.A. Wallace, MD, Pediatric Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Seattle Children’s Hospital, University of Washington. Drs. Zhao and Rascoff contributed equally to the project. Address correspondence to Dr. Y. Zhao, MA 7.110, 4800 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, Washington 98105, USA. E-mail: yongdong.zhao{at}seattlechildrens.org. Accepted for publication December 15, 2017.
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Abstract

Objective The validity of our current definitions for clinically inactive disease (CID) in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) based on physical examination is challenged by the development of advanced musculoskeletal imaging tools. We aimed to prospectively determine the prevalence of abnormal ultrasound (US) findings in children with CID in JIA and their clinical significance.

Methods Children aged ≥ 4 years with CID and a history of arthritis from a single tertiary center were approached over 1 year. Standard US of knees, tibiotalar joints, subtalar joints, and wrists were performed at baseline and at a followup visit. US images were scored by 2 pediatric musculoskeletal radiologists.

Results Forty children with CID were enrolled and followed clinically. The median duration of inactive disease was 1 year. The most common International League of Associations for Rheumatology JIA categories were extended oligoarticular JIA (30%) and rheumatoid factor–negative polyarthritis (38%). At baseline, among a total of 289 joints scanned, 24 joints (8%) had at least 1 abnormal finding in 18 (45%) of 40 subjects. When evaluated at the individual joint level against flares identified during followup exams, these baseline US findings had a sensitivity of 15% and a positive predictive value of 12%. The predictive performance of the second US was even less.

Conclusion Our study demonstrates that nearly half of children with CID had abnormal US findings in 1 of 8 commonly affected joints. These findings did not correlate with subsequent clinical flares in up to 2 years of followup.

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The Journal of Rheumatology: 53 (10)
The Journal of Rheumatology
Vol. 53, Issue 10
1 Oct 2026
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Flares of Disease in Children with Clinically Inactive Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Were Not Correlated with Ultrasound Findings
Yongdong Zhao, Nanci E. Rascoff, Ramesh S. Iyer, Mahesh Thapa, Lucas Reichley, Assaf P. Oron, Carol A. Wallace
The Journal of Rheumatology Apr 2018, jrheum.170681; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.170681

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Flares of Disease in Children with Clinically Inactive Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Were Not Correlated with Ultrasound Findings
Yongdong Zhao, Nanci E. Rascoff, Ramesh S. Iyer, Mahesh Thapa, Lucas Reichley, Assaf P. Oron, Carol A. Wallace
The Journal of Rheumatology Apr 2018, jrheum.170681; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.170681
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