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Research ArticleRheumatoid Arthritis

Cardiovascular Event Risk in Rheumatoid Arthritis Compared with Type 2 Diabetes: A 15-year Longitudinal Study

Rabia Agca, Luuk H.G.A. Hopman, Koen J.C. Laan, Vokko P. van Halm, Mike J.L. Peters, Yvo M. Smulders, Jacqueline M. Dekker, Giel Nijpels, Coen D.A. Stehouwer, Alexandre E. Voskuyl, Maarten Boers, Willem F. Lems and Michael T. Nurmohamed
The Journal of Rheumatology March 2020, 47 (3) 316-324; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.180726
Rabia Agca
From the Department of Rheumatology, Amsterdam Rheumatology and Immunology Center, Reade; Department of Rheumatology, Amsterdam Rheumatology and Immunology Center, VU University Medical Center; Department of Cardiology, and Department of Internal Medicine, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Department of General Practice, and EMGO Institute for Health and Care Research, Amsterdam UMC, VU University Medical Center; Amsterdam UMC, Academic Medical Center, Department of Cardiology; Department of Internal Medicine, and the Cardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
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  • For correspondence: r_agca@hotmail.com
Luuk H.G.A. Hopman
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Koen J.C. Laan
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Vokko P. van Halm
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Mike J.L. Peters
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Yvo M. Smulders
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Jacqueline M. Dekker
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Giel Nijpels
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Coen D.A. Stehouwer
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Alexandre E. Voskuyl
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Maarten Boers
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Willem F. Lems
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Michael T. Nurmohamed
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    Figure 1.

    Study design of the CARRÉ and Hoorn study cohorts. RA: rheumatoid arthritis; IFG: impaired fasting glucose; DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus.

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    Figure 2.

    Survival curves of participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus (black) versus the nondiabetic reference population (green), adjusted for age, sex (A), and traditional cardiovascular risk factors (B); nondiabetic participants with rheumatoid arthritis (black) versus the nondiabetic reference population (green), adjusted for age, sex (C), and traditional cardiovascular risk factors (D).

Tables

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    Table 1.

    Patient characteristics of the RA population and the reference cohort at baseline.

    CharacteristicsRA Population, n = 326Reference Cohort, n = 1869
    Demographics
      Age, yrs63 ± 7*62 ± 7
      Women, n (%)212 (65)*976 (52)
      Median inclusion yr20021991
      Followup duration, yrs11.2 (6.1–12.4)12 (9.5–12.0)
    CV risk factors
      Previous CVD, n (%)48 (15)*123 (7)
      Hypertension, n (%)200 (61)*601 (32)
      Smoking, n (%)
        Never71 (22)*630 (34)
        Former smoker159 (49)*666 (36)
        Current smoker96 (29)*562 (30)
        Pack-yrs18 (2–38)*12 (0–28)
      Glucose status, n (%)
        Normal fasting glucose levels283 (87)1501 (80)
        IFG levels26 (8)206 (11)
        DM16 (5)162 (9)
        Known/newly diagnosed DM14/873/89
      Systolic BP, mmHg142 ± 20*135 ± 20
      Diastolic BP, mmHg81 ± 8*82 ± 10
      TC, mmol/l5.79 ± 1.13*6.63 ± 1.16
      HDL-C, mmol/l1.45 ± 0.49*1.32 ± 0.37
      LDL-C, mmol/l3.71 ± 1.04*4.59 ± 1.06
      Triglycerides, mmol/l1.32 (0.96–1.84)1.40 (1.00–1.90)
      TC/HDL-C ratio4.38 ± 1.55*5.36 ± 1.72
      Waist/hip ratio0.9 ± 0.10.9 ± 0.1
      Body mass index, kg/m226.7 ± 4.826.5 ± 3.4
    Medication, n (%)
      Antihypertensive drugs84 (26)*373 (20)
      Statins37 (11)*29 (2)
      Aspirin54 (17)*62 (3)
    RA-related factors
      Age at RA diagnosis, yrs55 ± 8—
      Disease duration, yrs7 (4–10)—
      IgM-RF ≥ 30 U/ml, n (%)236 (72)—
      ACPA ≥ 50 kU/l, n (%)168 (52)—
      Erosion on radiographs, n (%)263 (81)—
      DAS28, range 0–103.9 ± 1.3—
      NSAID, n (%)218 (67)—
      Biologic agents, n (%)33 (10)—
      Methotrexate, n (%)195 (60)—
      Prednisone, n (%)54 (17)—
      Sulfasalazine, n (%)53 (16)—
      Hydroxychloroquine, n (%)24 (7)—
      Leflunomide, n (%)27 (8)—
      Other DMARD, n (%)20 (6)—
    • Continuous variables are presented as mean ± SD or median (interquartile range). Categorical and dichotomous variables are presented as numbers and/or percentages.

    • ↵* Significantly different from the general population. CV: cardiovascular; CVD: CV disease; BP: blood pressure; TC: total cholesterol; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; pack-yrs: (packs smoked per day) × (years as a smoker); IFG: impaired fasting glucose; DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; IgM-RF: immunoglobulin M rheumatoid factor; ACPA: anticitrullinated protein antibody; DAS28: Disease Activity Score at 28 joints; DMARD: disease-modifying antirheumatic drug; NSAID: nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drug.

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    Table 2.

    HR for new CV events in patients with RA versus the reference population.

    CharacteristicsRA PopulationReference Populationp
    All patients, n3261869
      Total followup, yrs297318,874
      Fatal and nonfatal CV events, n95257
      Incidence per 100 person-yrs3.201.36
      HR RA vs reference cohort
        Model 1*1.93 (1.51–2.45)1.00< 0.01
        Model 2#1.89 (1.40–2.46)1.00< 0.01
    Patients with prevalent CVDΔ excluded, n2781746
      Total followup, yrs262718,008
      Fatal and nonfatal CV event, n69225
      Incidence per 100 person-yrs2.631.25
      HR RA vs reference cohort
        Model 1*1.75 (1.31–2.32)1.00< 0.01
        Model 2#1.96 (1.45–2.66)1.00< 0.01
    • ↵* Adjusted for age and sex.

    • ↵# Adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive agents, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, statins, smoking in pack-years, body mass index, diabetes mellitus, and aspirin.

    • ↵Δ CVD according to the International Classification of Diseases criteria. CV: cardiovascular; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; CVD: CV disease.

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    Table 3.

    New CV events in RA and DM versus the reference population.

    PatientsHR95% CIp
    All patients
      Model 1
        Nondiabetic population1.00Reference—
        DM1.511.02–2.220.04
        Nondiabetic patients with RA2.071.57–2.72< 0.01
      Model 2
        Nondiabetic population1.00Reference—
        DM1.280.85–1.920.25
        Nondiabetic patients with RA1.821.32–2.50< 0.01
    Patients with prevalent CVD excluded
      Model 1
        Nondiabetic population1.00Reference—
        DM1.420.92–2.210.12
        Nondiabetic patients with RA1.821.32–2.50< 0.01
      Model 2
        Nondiabetic population1.00Reference—
        DM1.150.72–1.840.56
        Nondiabetic patients with RA1.961.39–2.78< 0.01
    • Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. Model 2: adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive agents, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, statins, smoking in pack-years, body mass index, and aspirin. CV: cardiovascular; CVD: CV disease; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus.

    • View popup
    Table 4.

    New CV events in RA with IR and DM versus the reference population.

    All PatientsHR95% CIp
    Model 1
      Reference population, normal glucose tolerance1.00Reference—
      Insulin resistance1.461.04–2.070.03
      DM1.511.03–2.230.04
      RA
        Normal glucose tolerance2.081.58–2.74< 0.01
        Insulin resistance2.701.33–5.49< 0.01
        DM2.231.04–4.750.04
    Model 2
      Reference population, normal glucose tolerance1.00Reference—
      Insulin resistance1.180.82–1.700.37
      DM1.300.87–1.950.20
      RA
        Normal glucose tolerance1.891.37–2.56< 0.01
        Insulin resistance2.671.30–5.46< 0.01
        DM2.211.01–4.800.046
    • Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. Model 2: adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive agents, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, statins, smoking in pack-years, body mass index, aspirin, and prevalent CV disease. CV: cardiovascular; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; IR: insulin resistance; DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus.

  • Type of EventGeneral Population, n = 1869RA Population, n = 326
    Prevalent, n = 123Incident, n = 257Prevalent, n = 48Incident, n = 95
    Myocardial infarction33334257
    Cerebrovascular accident17171720
    Transient ischemic attack561716
    Peripheral arterial disease202587
    Angina pectoris282017N.A.
    • Data are in percentages. RA: rheumatoid arthritis; N.A.: not assessed; angina pectoris: chest pain preceding coronary artery bypass graft or percutaneous coronary intervention with stent placement, chest pain with significant ST segment deviation on electrocardiogram, chest pain preceding diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome, chest pain preceding coronary angiography with > 50% stenosis, chest pain preceding positive exercise test. Possibility of more than 1 event previous to baseline.

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The Journal of Rheumatology
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1 Mar 2020
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Cardiovascular Event Risk in Rheumatoid Arthritis Compared with Type 2 Diabetes: A 15-year Longitudinal Study
Rabia Agca, Luuk H.G.A. Hopman, Koen J.C. Laan, Vokko P. van Halm, Mike J.L. Peters, Yvo M. Smulders, Jacqueline M. Dekker, Giel Nijpels, Coen D.A. Stehouwer, Alexandre E. Voskuyl, Maarten Boers, Willem F. Lems, Michael T. Nurmohamed
The Journal of Rheumatology Mar 2020, 47 (3) 316-324; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.180726

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Cardiovascular Event Risk in Rheumatoid Arthritis Compared with Type 2 Diabetes: A 15-year Longitudinal Study
Rabia Agca, Luuk H.G.A. Hopman, Koen J.C. Laan, Vokko P. van Halm, Mike J.L. Peters, Yvo M. Smulders, Jacqueline M. Dekker, Giel Nijpels, Coen D.A. Stehouwer, Alexandre E. Voskuyl, Maarten Boers, Willem F. Lems, Michael T. Nurmohamed
The Journal of Rheumatology Mar 2020, 47 (3) 316-324; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.180726
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Keywords

RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS
CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE
CARDIOVASCULAR RISK
TYPE 2 DIABETES MELLITUS

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