Abstract
Objective. The aim of this population-based study is to examine the adverse events (AE) associated with longitudinal systemic glucocorticoid (GC) use among an ethnic Chinese systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) cohort.
Methods. Our study subjects were patients with newly diagnosed SLE aged 18 and older who received at least 1 prescription of systemic GC between 2001 and 2012 from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The earliest prescription date of systemic GC for each subject was defined as the index date. For each subject, we calculated the average prednisolone-equivalent dose and the medication possession ratio (MPR) of GC use every 90 days for each patient after the index date. Patients with a diagnosis of AE (defined by the International Classification of Diseases-9-Clinical Modification diagnosis code) during the followup were also identified from the NHIRD. Generalized estimating equations adjusted for propensity score were applied to examine the association between longitudinal GC use and risks of prespecified AE (musculoskeletal, gastrointestinal, ophthalmologic, infectious, cardiovascular, neuropsychiatric, metabolic, and dermatologic diseases).
Results. We identified 11,288 patients with SLE (mean followup: 6.28 yrs). Higher doses and higher MPR of GC were associated with increased risk of osteonecrosis [adjusted OR (aOR) 2.87–9.09]. Similar results were found regarding the risk of osteoporosis (aOR 1.71–3.67), bacterial infection (aOR 2.12–3.89), Cushingoid syndrome (aOR 6.51–62.03), and sleep disorder (aOR 1.42–3.59).
Conclusion. To our knowledge, this is the first study to show that the dose and intensity of longitudinal use of GC were both associated with risk of AE among a nationwide Asian SLE cohort.
- SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS
- GLUCOCORTICOIDS
- ADVERSE EVENTS
- NATIONAL HEALTH INSURANCE RESEARCH DATABASE
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complicated chronic inflammatory autoimmune disease of unclear etiology, affecting 124 self-report cases per 1000 persons1. Over the past few decades, owing to improvements in diagnostics and treatment, the overall 5-year survival rate of patients with SLE has significantly improved from 75% in the 1950s to 95% in 20102. As the life expectancy of patients with SLE has been prolonged, damage accrual due to disease flares and cumulative treatments has been suggested to be associated with a higher risk of mortality after 10 years of followup in this patient population3,4. Because there is no curative treatment for SLE, systemic glucocorticoids (GC) are the cornerstone of management that aims to halt acute disease progression, sometimes used in combination with other “steroid-sparing” agents to postpone the timing of the next flare5,6.
Despite the clinical efficacy of the antiinflammatory and immunosuppressive properties of GC in treating SLE, numerous adverse events (AE) have been observed in GC users. A retrospective cohort study found that patients with SLE receiving steroids were 1.5 × more likely to develop AE, including chronic AE such as hypertension (HTN), cataracts, migraines, and sleep disturbances, and acute AE such as fungal infections, herpes zoster, nausea/vomiting, and pneumonia7. High dose of steroids was particularly reported to be associated with higher risk of AE. For example, Ruiz-Arruza, et al reported that patients taking medium-high doses of prednisone had a higher risk of accruing damage than those taking no prednisone8.
Petri, et al also reported that the estimated rates of AE (including osteoporosis, obesity, mood changes, diabetes, fractures, and avascular necrosis) were at least doubled in patients with SLE receiving prednisolone-equivalent doses > 20 mg/day compared with those receiving ≤ 20 mg/day9. Other studies have also suggested that permanent organ damage in patients with SLE was associated with longterm GC use10,11. However, existing studies are all limited by small sample size8,12, cross-sectional study design, or short followup time13,14, and may only identify temporary associations between GC use and associated AE3,14,15. Little is known about the association between the risk of GC-related AE and longitudinal patterns of GC use, in which dosage is influenced by fluctuating disease activity, patient characteristics, and comorbidity status, as well as by other concurrently administered SLE treatments.
To address these limitations, we took advantage of Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), a longitudinal nationwide claims database, to investigate the longitudinal (in particular, time-varying) GC use and the incidence of GC-related AE among patients with SLE during a 10-year followup period.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Data source
The data source was the NHIRD, a nationwide database containing claims records from Taiwan’s mandatory National Health Insurance program. The program was launched in 1995 and covers over 99% of the population in Taiwan (23.12 million in 2009). Demographic and healthcare use information, including outpatient visits, hospital admissions, and prescription medications of each beneficiary, is systematically recorded in the NHIRD. The database has been described in detail elsewhere and has become the source for numerous epidemiological studies published in peer-reviewed journals16. All claims data during the period of January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2012, were incorporated in our study.
Ethical statement
Because the identification numbers of all subjects in the NHIRD were encrypted to protect individual privacy, this study was exempted from full review by the Institutional Review Board of the National Taiwan University Hospital and informed consent was waived.
Study cohort
Our study cohort consisted of newly diagnosed SLE patients aged 18 and older between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2012. Patients with SLE were defined as having at least 1 inpatient or outpatient visit with a diagnosis of SLE [International Classification of Diseases-9-Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) = 710.0×]17 in the NHIRD. These patients with SLE were further validated using the Catastrophic Illness Database (consisting of the records of patients diagnosed with cancer or autoimmune diseases, including SLE). All NHI beneficiaries diagnosed with SLE are eligible to apply for a certificate of catastrophic illness, to be exempted from all copayments. Because one is required to have an official certificate of SLE diagnosis from the hospital to be eligible for the certificate of catastrophic illness, we were able to precisely identify the SLE cases and to avoid potential misclassification through the Catastrophic Illness Dataset. This approach has also been adopted by several published studies using the NHIRD as the data source18,19. The date of the earliest diagnosis of SLE was defined as the cohort entry date of our study subject. A 12-month washout period before the cohort entry date was used to ensure that these patients were newly diagnosed with SLE. Patients who never used GC during the study period were further excluded, because they may represent a specific SLE patient population, such as those asymptomatic or with very mild symptoms, which could be very different from those receiving GC. The index date was the earliest date among the recorded dates of patients receiving systemic GC. The 12 months before the index date served as the baseline information-gathering period to identify each patient’s comorbidities, including ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, dyslipidemia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus, and renal dysfunction.
GC and other SLE treatments
Information about GC use and other SLE treatments was retrieved from the NHIRD quarterly (90 days) after the index date. The GC included in our study were oral and parenteral forms of cortisone, hydrocortisone, prednisolone, triamcinolone, betamethasone, dexamethasone, methylprednisolone, and paramethasone.
We further categorized GC use during each observational unit (i.e., 90-day interval) of the followup period into 4 groups based on the dose and intensity of GC use. The average daily and cumulative doses of GC were converted into the prednisolone-equivalent daily dose (Supplementary Table 1, available with the online version of this article)5. The intensity of exposure to GC was calculated by the medication possession ratio (MPR) as the total prescribing days of GC divided by the total number of days of each observational period (a value ranging from 0 to 100%)20. For example, if a patient receives a total 72 days of GC in the 90-day observational unit (our study), then the MPR of GC use is 80%. An MPR of ≥ 80% was defined as “high intensity” based on the consensus of existing studies20. The pattern of GC use was then categorized into 4 groups: ≤ 10 mg prednisolone-equivalent daily dose + MPR < 80% (low dose + low intensity), ≤ 10 mg prednisolone-equivalent daily dose + MPR ≥ 80% (low dose + high intensity), > 10 mg prednisolone-equivalent daily dose + MPR < 80% (high dose + low intensity), and > 10 mg prednisolone-equivalent daily dose + MPR ≥ 80% (high dose + high intensity).
In addition to GC usage, information about usage of other SLE treatments was retrieved in each observational unit (i.e., 90 days) during the followup period for each patient with SLE. Those treatments included antimalarials [such as hydroxychloroquine (HCQ)], immunosuppressive agents [cyclophosphamide (CYC), azathioprine (AZA), mycophenolate mofetil], and nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAID).
Outcome measurement
SLE patients with a diagnosis of AE (defined by the ICD-9-CM diagnosis code) during the observational period (2000–2012) were identified from the NHIRD. Acute AE included in our study were fracture, peptic ulcer, viral hepatitis, pancreatitis, nausea/vomiting, gout/hyperuricemia, ischemic heart disease, tuberculosis, fungal infection, and bacterial infection. Chronic AE included in this study were osteoporosis, osteonecrosis, myopathy, fatty liver, cataracts, glaucoma, psychosis, depression, sleep disorder, dyslipidemia, cerebrovascular disease, HTN, atherosclerosis, heart failure, obesity, Cushingoid syndrome, and acne vulgaris (Supplementary Table 2, available with the online version of this article). In some instances, in which an AE occurred, treatment for the AE with a drug typically used to treat a common GC-related AE, such as an antibiotic, antiosteoporosis agent, antiulcer agent, or antiviral agent, was used as a surrogate to identify it as an occurrence of a GC-related AE. Only incident AE after GC use were included in our analyses. To identify incident AE in our study, a 3-month washout period before the index diagnosis date was used for “acute” AE (such as peptic ulcer or infection) and a 12-month washout period before the index diagnosis date was used for “chronic” AE (such as osteoporosis or sleep disorder). The incidence of GC-related AE (both acute and chronic), the primary outcome of interest, was calculated as the number of new cases of a specific AE divided by the followup time (per 1000 person-yrs).
To ensure that the occurrence of an AE was indeed GC-related, patients were required to be free of the particular AE during a washout period before the index date. The length of the washout period was defined as 30 days for acute AE and 180 days for chronic AE, respectively.
Statistical analysis
Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models with an autoregressive (AR-1) correlation structure that accounted for the intraclass correlation between repeated measurements for the same subjects were used to examine the association between GC use and clinical outcomes (i.e., GC-related AE). The GEE models were adjusted for patient demographics (age, sex), comorbidities, and concomitant SLE treatments. We also used a propensity score to address the potential selection bias among patients receiving high doses of GC. The propensity score was assigned based on the probability that an individual would receive a high dose of GC, and was estimated by a logistic regression model for observed covariates. Covariates included in the propensity score models were age, sex, comorbidities (including other autoimmune diseases), SLE severity index (patients were evaluated within 6-mos of cohort entry and categorized as having mild, moderate or severe SLE), and receipt of other SLE treatment21. We adopted a validated claims-based algorithm proposed by Garris, et al to estimate the SLE severity index in our study22. The severity of SLE of each patient was classified as “mild,” “moderate,” or “severe” based upon a combination of diagnosis codes, visits to rheumatologists, and filled prescriptions for SLE treatment (including corticosteroids, antimalarials, and immunosuppresives) in claims data. For example, a patient was classified as a “severe” SLE patient if he or she received oral corticosteroids with prednisone-equivalent dose > 40 mg/day and CYC and was ever admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis of SLE (ICD-9-CM codes 710) or SLE-related conditions22. The estimated propensity score of each patient was treated as a covariate and adjusted in the GEE models21. The associations between GC use and AE were presented as adjusted OR (aOR) with a 95% CI. All comparisons and aOR were estimated using intervals with no exposure to GC as the reference group. The p value was 2-sided, and α was set to 0.05. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS (SAS 9.3; SAS Institute).
RESULTS
Patient characteristics
We identified 11,288 newly diagnosed SLE patients with a least 1 prescription of systemic GC (Figure 1). The mean age (± SD) of the study cohort was 39.41 years (± 15.48 yrs). About 87% of our patients were women. Nearly one-third of these patients were in a severe disease stage based on the SLE severity index (mild: 36.4%, moderate: 34.4%, and severe: 29.2%). Most patients with SLE in our study were taking GC (92.27%), NSAID (79.32%), and HCQ (79.71%) at 1 year after cohort entry. These drugs are recommended for treating mild to moderate disease in clinical practice. Immunosuppressants such as AZA (31.31%) or CYC (15.12%), usually reserved for severe, life-threatening, or organ-threatening disease, were less common at the first year (Table 1).
GC-related AE
Table 2 summarizes the time-to-event and the incidence rate of the GC-related AE studied. Peptic ulcer (6251 events; 147.84/1000 person-yrs) was the most frequently identified GC-related AE in our study cohort, followed by bacterial infection (5489 events; 136.42/1000 person-yrs), insomnia (4019 events; 78.64/1000 person-yrs), fungal infection (2568 events; 42.26/1000 person-yrs), and HTN (2301 events; 37.67/1000 person-yrs). Over 1000 events of each of the following AE were identified in our study cohort: gout and hyperuricemia, osteoporosis, dyslipidemia, cataract, fracture, nausea/vomiting, acne vulgaris, and depression (incidence ranged from 29.81 to 15.07/1000 person-yrs).
Multivariate GEE models (Table 3) showed that high-dose and high-MPR GC use were associated with increased risk of osteonecrosis [aOR ranged from 2.87 to 9.09; ≤ 10 mg + MPR < 80%: aOR 2.87 (95% CI 1.16–7.08); ≤ 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80%: 5.04 (2.14–11.91); > 10 mg + MPR < 80%: 4.02 (1.70–9.49); > 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80% (high dose + high intensity): 9.09 (3.70–22.33)]. Similar results were found regarding the risk of osteoporosis (aOR ranged from 1.71 to 3.67), bacterial infection (aOR ranged from 2.12 to 3.89), Cushingoid syndrome (aOR ranged from 6.51 to 62.03), and sleep disorder (aOR ranged from 1.42 to 3.59).
For peptic ulcer, viral hepatitis, cataracts, hyperuricemia, or acne vulgaris, our study showed that even patients exposed to high-intensity but low-dose GC therapy were at a higher risk of AE compared to those not exposed to GC [e.g., cataracts, ≤ 10 mg + MPR < 80%: 1.28 (0.92–1.77); ≤ 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80%: 1.74 (1.29–2.34); > 10 mg + MPR < 80%: 1.68 (1.22–2.31); > 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80%: 2.63 (1.86–3.74)]. For some types of AE, a higher risk was only seen in SLE patients with high-dose GC use, not those with low-dose GC use, such as myopathy [≤ 10 mg + MPR < 80%: 0.91 (0.08–10.31); ≤ 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80%: 0.71 (0.05–9.98); > 10 mg + MPR < 80%: 8.92 (1.72–46.18); > 10 mg + MPR ≥ 80%: 12.43 (2.31–66.98)]. Such a pattern of association was also found regarding the risk of glaucoma, nausea/vomiting, fatty liver, tuberculosis, fungal infection, and cardiovascular disease (Table 3).
DISCUSSION
To our knowledge, our study is the first to investigate the association between the longitudinal pattern of GC use (by quantifying the time-varying dose and intensity of GC) and the risk of related AE among patients with SLE using a nationwide database of ethnic Chinese. The major strength of our study is that we provide important evidence in GC-associated AE in the Asian patients with SLE, who are known to have a distinct phenotype compared to patients with SLE in Western countries. The time-varying measurement approach adopted in our study also help us to better identify the real-world disease progression, treatments, and associated AE among patients with SLE. The design of our study further permits calculation of risk ratios and a dose/exposure effect between GC used and associated AE. Overall, we found that both dose and intensity of GC use were associated with AE.
For some specific GC-associated AE such as osteonecrosis, osteoporosis, bacterial infection, Cushingoid syndrome, and sleep disorder, a joint effect of dose and intensity was observed. Patients who received both high-dose and high-intensity GC treatment had the highest risk of these AE. However, even those who received both low-dose and low-intensity GC treatment had a higher risk of these AE compared with patients who did not receive GC. These results agree with previous studies suggesting that no consensus about a “safe” dose can be reached because even low-dose GC may cause the loss of bone mineral density (BMD) and Cushingoid syndrome23,24.
GC-induced osteoporosis is one of the most common AE associated with GC use. We found that patients who received both a high dose and a high intensity of GC had the highest risk of osteoporosis followed by those who received a low dose and a high intensity of GC. This may reveal that high-intensity GC use is more influential than average GC daily dose on the increased risk of osteoporosis. This is also in line with previous studies suggesting that although there is a strong correlation between cumulative dose and loss of BMD, discontinuation of these drugs may interrupt their damage to bone tissue10,25. However, we found that a high daily dose of GC resulted in a statistically significant increased risk for osteoporosis, even administered at low intensity, as has been suggested in previous studies9,26,27.
Our finding that the likelihood of developing certain GC-related AE (including myopathy, glaucoma, nausea/vomiting, fatty liver, tuberculosis, fungal infection, and cardiovascular disease) was associated with high-dose GC therapy is also consistent with previous studies8,26. Our study showed that the risk of bacterial infection increased with the GC daily dose28,29,30. In addition, our findings supported previous results that opportunistic infections7,23,31 such as tuberculosis and fungal infections were associated with GC use in a dose-response relationship32. An explanation for such results, suggested previously, is that suppression of tuberculin reactivity results when a prednisolone-equivalent dose > 15 mg/day is administered for 2–4 weeks33. In addition, our study demonstrated increased risk of viral infection associated with GC use, except in the low-intensity and low-dose GC group. A previous study has suggested, counter to our finding, that even a minimal level of GC use can stimulate the reactivation of latent viruses and lead to clinical infection among patients with SLE31.
Again, high-intensity GC use played an important role in the GC-associated ophthalmologic AE considered in our study. For example, our findings are consistent with previous studies that steroid-induced glaucoma is attributable to persistent systemic GC therapy34,35. Our findings also showed that low-dose, high-intensity GC treatment was associated with increased risk of cataracts, which is in line with previous findings that increased risk of cataracts was associated with cumulative exposure to GC, even under low-dose GC treatment10,31. Similar results were also found regarding peptic ulcer36, acne vulgaris, and hyperuricemia.
In our study, no association was found between GC use and the occurrence of some of the AE considered, such as pancreatitis, psychosis, and obesity. A likely explanation for this is that some AE may be associated with GC use as well as with the progression of SLE disease4,10,11,37. For example, it is very difficult to evaluate the effect of GC use on the risk of developing neuropsychiatric AE, such as depression, without confounding by SLE. It is well known that depression is the most common psychiatric manifestation in SLE38,39. On the other hand, sleep disorders appear to be associated with psychosocial factors due to disease severity of SLE (e.g., depression, fatigue, and pain) and steroid therapy38,40.
Although our study provides valuable insights into the association between longitudinal patterns of GC use and the risk of GC-related AE, as with all observational studies based on claims databases, it has limitations. First, using the ICD-9-CM code to identify the study endpoints may underestimate the incidence of GC-related AE. However, we also included drugs used to treat GC-related AE to improve the validity of the estimates. In addition, the AE may be underreported in our retrospective study as compared to a more prospective cohort study. Second, we were unable to collect data on variables not routinely identified in claims databases, such as patient disease severity and laboratory data. However, we used the SLE severity index to categorize a patient’s disease severity22, and we adopted the propensity score technique to adjust for the baseline differences among patients with SLE. Third, the incidence rates in our study may be different from those in other studies. This may be explained by geographic and racial differences in patients with SLE worldwide41. Fourth, while our study retrieved all parenteral and oral systemic GC for our study cohort to help us better identify the real-world disease progression, treatments, and associated AE among the patients with SLE, methylprednisolone pulses could activate a different pathway of AE. Fifth, the cutoff of a 10-mg prednisolone-equivalent daily dose was different from that used in other studies in Western countries. For example, Ruiz-Arruza, et al used 7.5 mg/day as the cutoff8. We used 10 mg/day as the cutoff to reflect the clinical practice in Taiwan. In Taiwan, the smallest dosage of steroids is 5 mg/tablet and clinicians here usually prescribe 2 pills (10 mg) for someone who may need a medium-high dose of steroids (i.e., 7.5 mg/day). We also have retrieved our data and found that very few patients in Taiwan use 7.5 mg/day of steroids. We therefore decided to use 10 mg/day as the cutoff.
Our empirical analysis found that dose and intensity of GC use were both associated with higher risk of AE. To our knowledge, ours is the first study to document the association between longitudinal use of GC and risk of AE among a nationwide Asian SLE cohort.
ONLINE SUPPLEMENT
Supplementary material accompanies the online version of this article.
Acknowledgment
The authors acknowledge the National Health Insurance Administration and National Health Research Institutes for making available the databases for this study.
Footnotes
Biogen Inc. provided funding for this project.
- Accepted for publication July 31, 2017.