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Research ArticleArticle

Diagnostic Accuracy of ACR/EULAR 2010 Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis in a 2-Year Cohort

SOPHIE VARACHE, DIVI CORNEC, JOHANNE MORVAN, VALÉRIE DEVAUCHELLE-PENSEC, JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT, CATHERINE LE HENAFF-BOURHIS, SYLVIE HOANG, JEAN-BAPTISTE THOREL, ANTOINE MARTIN, GÉRARD CHALÈS, EMMANUEL NOWAK, SANDRINE JOUSSE-JOULIN, PIERRE YOUINOU and ALAIN SARAUX
The Journal of Rheumatology July 2011, 38 (7) 1250-1257; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.101227
SOPHIE VARACHE
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DIVI CORNEC
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JOHANNE MORVAN
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VALÉRIE DEVAUCHELLE-PENSEC
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JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT
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CATHERINE LE HENAFF-BOURHIS
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SYLVIE HOANG
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JEAN-BAPTISTE THOREL
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ANTOINE MARTIN
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GÉRARD CHALÈS
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EMMANUEL NOWAK
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SANDRINE JOUSSE-JOULIN
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PIERRE YOUINOU
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ALAIN SARAUX
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  • For correspondence: Alain.Saraux@univ-brest.fr
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    Figure 1.

    Final diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in the overall population according to the ACR/EULAR criteria.

  • Figure 2.
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    Figure 2.

    Receiver operating characteristic curve of the criteria sets in the subgroup meeting the 3 conditions for ACR/EULAR scoring (synovitis, no better alternative diagnosis, and no typical erosions; panel A; n = 143) and in the overall population (panel B; n = 270).

  • Figure 3.
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    Figure 3.

    Receiver operating characteristic curve of each item identified by the logistic regression in the subgroup meeting the 3 conditions for ACR/EULAR scoring (synovitis, no better alternative diagnosis, and no typical erosions; panel A); and in panel B, the diagnostic value of the best combination of items in the Brittany cohort [(joint 0–5)/5 + (ACPA 0–3) + (RF 0–1) × 2 + (ACR4 0–1) × 2 + (ESR or CRP 0–1) × 2], where joint 0–5 indicates the ACR/EULAR joint score, ACPA 0–3 (negative, low, high), RF absence or presence of rheumatoid factors, ACR4 0–1 the absence or presence of item 4 in the ACR 1987 criteria set, ESR 0–1 the absence or presence of ESR elevation, and CRP 0–1 the absence or presence of CRP elevation, compared to the other criteria sets.

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    Table 1.

    Prevalence of each item of the unmodified ACR 1987 criteria, modified ACR 1987, and ACR/EULAR criteria in patients with and without a final diagnosis of RA after 2 years, defined as RA diagnosed by the office-based rheumatologist and receiving disease-modifying antirheumatic drug and/or glucocorticoid therapy.

    ItemFinal Diagnosis of RAp
    No, N = 170, n (%)Yes, N = 100, n (%)
    1. Morning stiffness ≥ 1 hour*59 (34.7)68< 0.0001
    2. Arthritis of 3 or more joint areas*74 (43.5)78< 0.0001
    3. Arthritis of hand joints*76 (44.7)82< 0.0001
    4. Symmetric arthritis*61 (35.9)77< 0.0001
    5. Rheumatoid nodules0 (0)3< 0.0001
    6. Rheumatoid factor (positive)24 (14.1)57< 0.0001
      Low14 (8.2)24
      High10 (5.9)33
    7. Radiographic changes10 (5.9)110.15
    8. ACPA (positive)11 (6.4)48< 0.0001
      Low2 (1.2)5
      High9 (5.3)43
    ACR 1987 criteria ≥ 434 (20)64< 0.0001
    ACR 1987 Liao 2 modified criteria ≥ 358 (34.1)84< 0.0001
    ACR 1987 Liao 1 modified criteria ≥ 434 (20)69< 0.0001
    Joint involvement, points
      078 (45.9)17
      114 (8.2)3
      242 (24.7)26< 0.0001
      322 (12.9)31
      514 (8.2)23
    More than 6 weeks (1 point)120 (70.6)830.028
    Elevated ESR or CRP (1 point)121 (71.2)810.08
    RF or ACPA, points
      0132 (77.6)29
      213 (76.5)11< 0.0001
      317 (10)49
    ACR/EULAR ≥ 624 (14.1)58< 0.0001
    • ↵* More than 6 weeks. RF: rheumatoid factor; ACPA: anticyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; CRP: serum C-reactive protein; ACPA: anticyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies.

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    Table 2.

    Diagnostic value of the 3 criteria sets (unmodified ACR 1987, modified ACR 1987 criteria, and more than 6 points on the ACR/EULAR score), and of the best combination of items in the Brittany cohort in the overall population, in the subgroup meeting the 3 conditions for ACR/EULAR scoring (synovitis, no better alternative diagnosis, and no radiographic erosion typical for RA), and in the overall population classified according to the full ACR/EULAR tree.

    CriteriaSubgroupsSensitivity, % (95% CI)Specificity, % (95% CI)Positive Predictive Value, (95% CI)Negative Predictive Value, (95% CI)AUC*
    ACR 1987 criteria, ≥ 4Overall64/100, 64 (53.7–73.2)136/170, 80 (73.0–85.6)64/98, 65.3 (54.9–74.4)136/172, 79.1 (72.1–84.71)0.81
    Conditions met50/78, 64.1 (52.4–74.4)43/65, 66.1 (53.2–77.1)50/72, 69.4 (58.4–79.5)43/71, 60.6 (48.2–71.7)0.74
    Full tree61/100, 61 (50.7–70.4)151/170, 88.8 (82.9–92.9)61/88, 69.3 (58.4–78.5)143/182, 78.6 (71.8–84.1)
    ACR 1987 criteria with Liao 2 modification, ≥ 3Overall69/100, 69 (58.9–77.7)136/170, 80 (73.3–85.6)69/98, 70.4 (60.2–78.9)136/172, 79.1 (72.1–84.7)0.81
    Conditions met67/78, 85.9 (75.7–92.4)36/65, 55.4 (42.6–67.5)67/96, 69.8 (59.5–78.5)36/47, 76.6 (61.6–87.2)0.77
    Full tree72/100, 72 (61.9–80.3)144/170, 84.7 (78.2–89.6)78/112, 69.6 (60.1–77.8)136/158, 86.1 (79.5–90.9)
    ACR 1987 criteria with Liao 1 modification, ≥ 4Overall84/100, 84 (75.0–90.3)112/170, 65.9 (58.2–72.9)84/142, 59.1 (50.6–67.2)112/128, 87.5 (80.2–92.5)0.83
    Conditions met54/78, 69.2 (57.6–78.9)43/65, 66.1 (53.2–77.1)54/76, 71.0 (59.3–80.6)43/67, 64.2 (51.5–75.3)0.77
    Full tree65/100, 65 (54.7–74.1)143/170, 84.1 (77.5–89.1)65/92, 70.6 (60.1–79.4)143/178, 80.3 (73.6–85.8)
    ACR/EULAR score ≥ 6Overall58/100, 58 (47.7–67.7)143/170, 85.9 (79.5–90.6)58/82, 70.7 (59.5–79.9)146/188, 77.6 (70.9–83.3)0.83
    Conditions met40/78, 51.3 (39.8–62.7)53/65, 81.5 (69.6–89.7)40/52, 76.9 (62.8–87)53/91, 58.2 (47.4–68.3)0.78
    Full tree51/100, 51 (40.9–61.1)153/170, 90 (84.2–93.9)51/68, 75 (84.2–93.9)153/202, 75.7 (69.1–81.4)
    Best combination of items in the Brittany cohort ≥ 5Overall62/100, 62 (51.7–71.4)145/170, 85.3 (78.9–90.1)62/87, 71.3 (60.4–80.2)145/183, 79.2 (72.5–84.7)0.84
    Conditions met50/78, 64.1 (52.4–74.4)53/65, 81.8 (69.6–89.7)50/62, 80.6 (68.2–89.2)53/81, 65.4 (53.9–75.4)0.83**
    Full tree61/100, 61 (50.7–70.4)153/170, 90 (84.2–93.9)61/88, 69.3 (58.4–78.5)153/192, 79.7 (73.2–84.9)
    • ↵* Area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curves when conditions were met.

    • ↵** p , 0.05 versus ACR/EULAR score.

    • View popup
    Table 3.

    Logistic regression in the group that was not better explained by another diagnosis and without erosion typical for RA.

    CriteriaExp ß (95% CI)p
    Symmetric arthritis (ACR criteria 4)2.96 (1.19–7.37)0.02
    Rheumatoid factor (positive or negative)3.23 (1.27–8.22)0.014
    Cyclic citrullinated peptide (negative, low, high)2.90 (1.6–5.23)< 0.0001
    ESR or CRP2.67 (1.01–7.05)0.03
    Joint (0 to 5 points)1.33 (1.02–1.73)0.032
    • ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; CRP: C-reactive protein.

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Vol. 38, Issue 7
1 Jul 2011
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Diagnostic Accuracy of ACR/EULAR 2010 Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis in a 2-Year Cohort
SOPHIE VARACHE, DIVI CORNEC, JOHANNE MORVAN, VALÉRIE DEVAUCHELLE-PENSEC, JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT, CATHERINE LE HENAFF-BOURHIS, SYLVIE HOANG, JEAN-BAPTISTE THOREL, ANTOINE MARTIN, GÉRARD CHALÈS, EMMANUEL NOWAK, SANDRINE JOUSSE-JOULIN, PIERRE YOUINOU, ALAIN SARAUX
The Journal of Rheumatology Jul 2011, 38 (7) 1250-1257; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.101227

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Diagnostic Accuracy of ACR/EULAR 2010 Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis in a 2-Year Cohort
SOPHIE VARACHE, DIVI CORNEC, JOHANNE MORVAN, VALÉRIE DEVAUCHELLE-PENSEC, JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT, CATHERINE LE HENAFF-BOURHIS, SYLVIE HOANG, JEAN-BAPTISTE THOREL, ANTOINE MARTIN, GÉRARD CHALÈS, EMMANUEL NOWAK, SANDRINE JOUSSE-JOULIN, PIERRE YOUINOU, ALAIN SARAUX
The Journal of Rheumatology Jul 2011, 38 (7) 1250-1257; DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.101227
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