Table 3.

Predictors of cerebrovascular disease, CVD, or both in non-GCA and GCA cohorts in 6 independent analyses. Multivariable competing risk model (imputed) inclusive of all listed covariates and adjusted for covariate interaction (HTN and antihypertensives, HTN and lipid-lowering medications, HTN and hyperlipidemia). Significant interactions p < 0.05 are cerebrovascular disease non-GCA: HTN and antihypertensives, HTN and hyperlipidemia; CVD non-GCA: HTN and antihypertensives; CVD GCA: HTN and antihypertensives; cerebrovascular disease or CVD non-GCA: HTN and antihypertensives, HTN and hyperlipidemia; cerebrovascular disease or CVD GCA: HTN and antihypertensives. Values are SHR (95% CI).

CharacteristicsCerebrovascular DiseaseCVDCerebrovascular Disease or CVD
Non-GCA, n = 37,090GCA, n = 5827Non-GCA, n = 37,090GCA, n = 5827Non-GCA, n = 37,090GCA, n = 5827
Age categories, yrs
  Less than 65111111
  65 to less than 701.81 (1.51–2.16)***1.96 (1.40–2.75)***1.75 (1.55–1.98)***1.34 (1.04–1.73)*1.76 (1.58–1.95)***1.61 (1.31–1.99)***
  70 to less than 752.89 (2.47–3.37)***2.22 (1.63–3.02)***1.82 (1.62–2.05)***1.44 (1.14–1.82)**2.18 (1.98–2.40)***1.74 (1.43–2.10)***
  75 to less than 803.50 (2.99–4.09)***2.57 (1.88–3.53)***1.96 (1.74–2.21)***1.57 (1.23–1.99)***2.47 (2.24–2.72)***1.82 (1.49–2.23)***
  80 and above4.18 (3.58–4.86)***3.20 (2.36–4.35)***1.58 (1.40–1.79)***1.44 (1.12–1.84)**2.45 (2.23–2.70)***1.98 (1.62–2.42)***
Sex
  Female111111
  Male1.09 (0.98–1.20)1.03 (0.84–1.27)1.52 (1.40–1.64)***1.32 (1.12–1.56)**1.34 (1.25–1.43)***1.20 (1.05–1.38)**
BMI categories
  Underweight0.95 (0.74–1.21)1.09 (0.54–2.20)0.95 (0.68–1.31)1.16 (0.66–2.07)0.95 (0.77–1.18)1.17 (0.78, 1.77)
  Normal111111
  Pre-obese1.02 (0.90–1.15)1.19 (0.94–1.50)1.07 (0.98–1.18)1.10 (0.90–1.35)1.05 (0.97–1.14)1.10 (0.93–1.30)
  Obese classes 1 & 21.13 (0.98–1.31)0.98 (0.72–1.35)1.08 (0.96–1.22)1.34 (1.06–1.70)*1.11 (1.00–1.22)*1.20 (0.99–1.46)
  Obese class 30.99 (0.62–1.58)1.24 (0.53–2.89)0.97 (0.68–1.38)1.57 (0.89–2.78)1.02 (0.76–1.36)1.51 (0.94–2.43)
Smoking
  No111111
  Ex1.05 (0.93–1.18)0.98 (0.78–1.24)1.03 (0.94–1.14)1.06 (0.87–1.29)1.03 (0.95–1.11)1.01 (0.86–1.19)
  Yes1.20 (1.04–1.39)*1.25 (0.96–1.64)1.15 (1.03–1.27)*1.08 (0.85–1.36)1.18 (1.08–1.29)***1.13 (0.95–1.34)
Alcohol
  No111111
  Ex0.97 (0.76–1.23)1.21 (0.77–1.89)0.86 (0.69–1.06)0.88 (0.60–1.28)0.88 (0.74–1.04)1.02 (0.77–1.34)
  Yes1.00 (0.89–1.13)0.87 (0.65–1.16)0.93 (0.83–1.03)0.87 (0.71–1.06)0.95 (0.88–1.03)0.87 (0.73–1.03)
IMD quintiles
  Quintile 1, least deprived111111
  Quintile 20.96 (0.82–1.13)0.97 (0.66–1.43)1.10 (0.97–1.25)1.00 (0.76–1.32)1.06 (0.96–1.18)1.01 (0.81–1.27)
  Quintile 31.05 (0.88–1.26)1.15 (0.80–1.63)1.09 (0.94–1.26)1.10 (0.81–1.50)1.11 (0.98–1.26)1.13 (0.90–1.42)
  Quintile 41.10 (0.92–1.33)0.98 (0.66–1.47)1.25 (1.09–1.44)**1.22 (0.89–1.66)1.22 (1.10–1.36)***1.16 (0.91–1.47)
  Quintile 5, most deprived1.03 (0.86–1.23)1.31 (0.91–1.90)1.32 (1.12–1.55)**1.24 (0.86–1.79)1.21 (1.08–1.37)**1.34 (1.01–1.78)*
Previous history of hyperlipidemia0.84 (0.62–1.13)1.40 (0.90–2.17)1.28 (1.06–1.54)**1.08 (0.74–1.58)1.12 (0.95–1.32)1.17 (0.85–1.59)
Previous history of hypertension1.53 (1.29–1.80)***0.74 (0.49–1.12)1.84 (1.59–2.13)***1.53 (1.14–2.05)**1.78 (1.59–1.99)***1.15 (0.90–1.48)
Previous prescription of antihypertensives0.70 (0.58–0.84)***1.31 (0.84–2.05)0.75 (0.64–0.88)***0.77 (0.56–1.06)0.69 (0.61–0.79)***0.97 (0.74–1.27)
Previous history of diabetes or diabetic medications1.28 (1.10–1.50)**1.29 (0.94–1.78)1.14 (1.00–1.30)*1.12 (0.86–1.45)1.22 (1.10–1.36)***1.19 (0.96–1.47)
Previous prescription of lipid-lowering medications0.76 (0.63–0.93)**0.87 (0.61–1.24)1.14 (1.00–1.31)*1.20 (0.92–1.58)1.00 (0.89–1.12)1.08 (0.86–1.35)
  • * P < 0.05.

  • ** P < 0.01.

  • *** P < 0.001. CVD: cardiovascular disease; GCA: giant cell arteritis; HTN: hypertension; SHR: subhazard ratio; BMI: body mass index; IMD: Index Multiple Deprivation.