Table 2

Multivariate analysis of dead versus alive in SSc (overall) and in dcSSc and lcSSc subsets. Data are from the univariate models comparing dead versus alive, adjusting for followup time for overall and subsets (data not shown). Education did not appear in the model as statistically significant.

Significant PredictorsData with All Significant Variables in the Regression Analysis OR (95% CI); pData Excluding ESR and Using % FVC and DLCO % Predicted as Continuous Variables OR (95% CI); p
Overall
 Age1.066 (1.030–1.103); 0.00011.067 (1.032–1.102); 0.0001
 dcSSc3.817 (1.805–8.069); 0.00013.076 (1.499–6.310); 0.002
 sPAP > 40 mm Hg6.330 (3.042–13.172); 0.00015.025 (2.450–10.305); 0.0001
 FVC, % predicted < 70NS
 FVC, % predicted (continuous)0.983 (0.066–1.000); 0.048
 Proteinuria3.295 (1.288–8.426); 0.0132.700 (1.115–6.542); 0.028
dcSSc subset
 Age1.056 (1.010–1.103); 0.0161.059 (1.016–1.104); 0.007
 sPAP > 40 mm Hg3.735 (1.289–10.826); 0.0154.016 (1.504–10.720); 0.006
 FVC, % predicted < 703.039 (1.008–9.163); 0.048
 FVC, % predicted (continuous)0.972 (0.949–0.997); 0.027
 ESR > 20 mm/h3.001 (1.011–8.905); 0.048
 Proteinuria3.978 (1.110–14.255); 0.0344.583 (1.449–14.500); 0.010
lcSSc subset
 Age1.076 (1.014–1.140); 0.0151.080 (1.019–1.146); 0.010
 sPAP > 40 mm Hg4.101 (1.301–12.924); 0.0163.515 (1.064–11.611); 0.039
 DLCO, % predicted < 706.162 (1.306–29.083); 0.022
 DLCO, % predicted (continuous)0.961 (0.933–0.991); 0.010
  • SSc: systemic sclerosis; dcSSc: diffuse cutaneous SSc; lcSSc: limited cutaneous SSc; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; FVC: forced vital capacity; sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure. NS: nonsignificant.