Table 3.

Risk factors for later A or B flares based on organ system involvement.

Factor at BaselineOrgan SystemNo A or B Flare, %Later A or B Flare, %pOR (95% CI)
Sex femaleHematologic85960.01003.85 (1.41, 10.6)
Any flare83910.03942.13 (1.06, 4.29)
Ethnicity African AmericanHematologic34520.00702.07 (1.23, 3.50)
Any flare25470.00032.67 (1.57, 4.55)
Low C3Mucocutaneous20360.01562.20 (1.18, 4.10)
Renal19330.02172.02 (1.14, 3.57)
Hematologic1739< 0.00013.19 (1.80, 5.63)
Any flare17270.05801.87 (1.01, 3.46)
Low C4Mucocutaneous18410.00043.14 (1.69, 5.84)
Renal19310.02171.98 (1.11, 3.51)
Hematologic17360.00042.89 (1.63, 5.13)
Any flare15270.01832.17 (1.15, 4.11)
Anti-dsDNA-positiveHematologic20370.00332.33 (1.34, 4.04)
Any flare19290.06511.80 (1.00, 3.26)
Low C3 AND anti-dsDNA-positiveMucocutaneous10230.00952.71 (1.30, 5.67)
Renal8230.00173.23 (1.60, 6.54)
Hematologic10200.02092.40 (1.19, 4.84)
Any flare7160.027702.61 (1.10, 6.18)
Low C4 AND anti-dsDNA-positiveMucocutaneous8250.00093.91 (1.83, 8.33)
Renal8180.02492.45 (1.18, 5.12)
Hematologic8200.00263.13 (1.50, 6.54)
Any flare5150.01103.47 (1.30, 9.30)
Low C3 AND low C4Mucocutaneous10270.00243.18 (1.56, 6.48)
Hematologic9250.00073.37 (1.70, 6.68)
Any flare7180.01202.98 (1.27, 7.00)